尝试创造能超越ChatGPT的人工智能 – 07
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上一篇主要探讨了通过观察外星文明来获取人工智能相关洞见的可能性，结尾也提出外星文明一直在暗中观察人类的可能性，这篇接着上篇，对外星文明相关做思路的拓展。
如果外星文明真的一直在暗中观察人类，那就绝对不止某个外星文明在暗中观察了，而是某些外星文明在暗中观察。那么，为什么没见到哪个外星文明对地球发动攻击呢？其实可能并不是某些外星文明不想发动攻击，而是不敢发动攻击，因为一旦这么做，无异于向其他外星文明宣告自己就是要这么明目张胆地欺负弱小，这就极有可能遭其他外星文明集体围剿，而且是不会有任何同情的那种围剿。所以，有种可能，是暗中观察地球的外星文明们达成了协议，就是大家都选择等待，尽可能不干预地球的发展，并尽量不被人类发现，直到人类确定和宇宙中任何一个外星文明建立了公开的外交关系，再决定和地球建立什么样的关系。
那么，基于上述假设，人类还有必要主动和外星文明建立联系么？
如果人类没有与任何一个外星文明建立公开的外交关系，那么地球会长久处于安全但被暗中观察的状态，其实也不是什么坏事；如果人类和外星文明成功建立了联系，那么距离建立公开的星际外交关系也不会远了，到时会有什么新的挑战，真的很难预测，但同时，人类文明也会发展到一个新阶段。
可是，太阳系中的太阳，能一直维持着核聚变反应么，如果几十亿年后太阳变成了红巨星，反而要吞噬地球，那么，生活在地球上的人类，是不是不得不抛弃自己的家园而寻求太阳系外的生路？
如果这一切是注定要发生的，那么就只能尝试尽力探索宇宙了，开拓尽可能多的适合人类生存的星球，当然是在不伤害其他外星文明的前提下。
所以，有必要和外星文明建立联系，而且是要和善良的外星文明建立联系，不是为了称霸宇宙，而是在维系人类生存的基础上探索宇宙，真正地去理解宇宙。
那么，为几十亿年后的人类文明谋出路，跟我们现在平均寿命年数只有两位数的个体有什么关系呢？
几十年和几十亿年相比较确实十分渺小，除了极小可能出现在几十亿年后的教科书或影像资料等史学资料中，好像几十亿年后的事真的和我们没什么关系。顶多，当几十亿年后的人类评价二十一世纪的人们，会少一点抱怨多一点感恩吧。
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The previous article primarily discussed the possibility of gaining insights into artificial intelligence through the observation of extraterrestrial civilizations. It also raised the possibility that extraterrestrial civilizations have been secretly observing humanity. This article continues from the previous one and expands on the ideas related to extraterrestrial civilizations.
If extraterrestrial civilizations have indeed been secretly observing humanity, it’s highly likely that it’s not just one civilization doing so, but rather multiple civilizations. So, why haven’t we seen any extraterrestrial civilization launching an attack on Earth? It might not be that some extraterrestrial civilizations don’t want to attack, but rather that they dare not, as doing so would essentially declare themselves as openly bullying the weaker species. This could lead to collective retaliation from other extraterrestrial civilizations, and it would be a ruthless one without any sympathy. Therefore, there’s a possibility that the extraterrestrial civilizations observing Earth in secret have reached an agreement to wait, to not interfere with Earth’s development as much as possible, and to avoid detection by humans until humanity establishes open diplomatic relations with any extraterrestrial civilization. Only then would they decide what kind of relationship to establish with Earth.
Given the above assumption, is it necessary for humanity to actively establish contact with extraterrestrial civilizations?
If humanity hasn’t established open diplomatic relations with any extraterrestrial civilization, then Earth would remain in a state of safety but constant covert observation, which might not necessarily be a bad thing. However, if humanity does succeed in establishing contact with extraterrestrial civilizations, then the path to establishing open interstellar diplomatic relations wouldn’t be far off. There would be new challenges at that time that are difficult to predict, but at the same time, human civilization would enter a new stage.
However, can the Sun in the solar system maintain nuclear fusion indefinitely? If billions of years from now the Sun turns into a red giant and threatens to engulf Earth, would the inhabitants of Earth have to abandon their home and seek refuge outside the solar system?
If all of this is destined to happen, then we can only try our best to explore the universe, to colonize as many habitable planets as possible, provided we do so without harming other extraterrestrial civilizations.
So, is it necessary to establish contact with extraterrestrial civilizations, and specifically with benevolent ones? It’s not about dominating the universe but rather about exploring it while ensuring the survival of humanity and truly understanding the cosmos.
Now, what does all of this have to do with individuals whose average lifespan is only a few decades when compared to the billions of years in the future?